Peak ledger
Sunday, July 5, 2026
Our call
◇ 3%
CLEAR · window 3:00 PM CT–5:00 PM CT
The day
66.1 GW
max at 12:00 AM CT
Outcome
RANK 5
beaten, the month leader is 82.4 GW
What was behind the 3%
- Forecast max
- 80.8 GW
- Month max
- 82.4 GW
- Margin
- -1.6 GW
- Temp anomaly
- +1.0 °F
- Est. curtailment
- 1.5 GW
- Est. battery
- -0.2 GW
- p (raw)
- 10%
- p (final)
- 3%
model mercury-1.0.0 · computed 2:10 AM CT · stress-test these drivers →
This day ranks #5 of 5 observed days this month. See the full month ladder →
All values from real ERCOT feeds; calls logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".