Will today set the summer peak?
Today's load vs the Horizoncross the white line and today is the new peak
ActualForecastMonth max
2%
CLEAR
the chance today sets July's peak
- Forecast max
- 80.4 GW
- Month max
- 82.1 GW
- Margin
- -1.73 GW
- Temp anomaly
- +0.87°F
- Est. curtailment
- −1.5 GW
- p (raw → final)
- 8% → 2%
Calibration and model ⓘ
In the tight window now
ends 6:00 PM CT
2:00 PM CT to 6:00 PM CT · 4h, not the whole afternoon
a 4 in 5 chance the peak lands here ⓘ
Hour by hour, Jul 4
1:00 PM
0.3%
2:00 PM
0.5%
3:00 PM
0.6%
4:00 PM
0.5%
5:00 PM
0.4%
6:00 PM
0.1%
7:00 PM
0.0%
Tap an hour for the why
Texas right now
ERCOT demand 81.8 GW · hourly
coolerhotter than normal
How we score
2022 to 2024, frozen| Model | Precision | Recall | False alarms (hrs) |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ WattMarkets | 16.7% | 50% | 60 |
| Alert every hot day | 14.8% | 100% | 138 |
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