The track records
Every call is logged when it's made and graded when the data settles. Each market keeps its own record. There is no blended number. Misses included.
This seasonERCOT 7 of 45 days flaggedPJM 3 of 29 days flaggedNYISO 2 of 28 days flaggedISO-NE 28 calls, all CLEAR
ERCOT 4CP
2022 to 2025, replayed on settled data15 of 16
peaks caught
82
days flagged · blanket 105
6h
average lead
134h
false alerts · blanket 178h
The full record →
PJM 5CP
2022–2025, graded on settled data18 of 20
peaks caught
36
days flagged · blanket 86
6.7h
average lead
36h
false alerts · blanket 132h
The full record →
NYISO ICAP
2022–2025, graded on settled data3 of 4
peaks caught
22
days flagged · blanket 25
7.3h
average lead
38h
false alerts · blanket 46h
The full record →
ISO-NE tag
graded seasons from mid-2023, when the public feed opens3 of 3
peaks caught
6
days flagged · blanket 18
7.7h
average lead
6h
false alerts · blanket 30h
The full record →
Calls are hashed when they're made and graded on settlements. Verify the chain · the method