Peak ledger

Sunday, July 5, 2026

Our call
1%
CLEAR · window 3:00 PM CT–5:00 PM CT
The day
81.7 GW
max at 4:30 PM CT
Outcome
RANK 8
beaten, the month leader is 83.3 GW
What was behind the 1%
Forecast max
80.8 GW
Month max
82.4 GW
Margin
-1.6 GW
Temp anomaly
+0.2 °F
Est. curtailment
1.5 GW
Est. battery
-0.2 GW
p (raw)
2%
p (final)
1%

model hybrid-1.0.0 · computed 11:58 PM CT · stress-test these drivers →

This day ranks #8 of 10 observed days this month. Watch the replay → · See the full month ladder →

All values from real ERCOT feeds; calls logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".