Peak ledger

Monday, July 6, 2026

Our call
1%
CLEAR · window 2:00 PM CT–5:00 PM CT
The day
83.3 GW
max at 4:20 PM CT
Outcome
MONTH LEADER
currently holds this month's provisional peak
What was behind the 1%
Forecast max
82.6 GW
Month max
82.4 GW
Margin
0.3 GW
Temp anomaly
-0.3 °F
Est. curtailment
1.5 GW
Est. battery
-0.2 GW
p (raw)
27%
p (final)
1%

model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 11:57 PM CT · stress-test these drivers →

As of today, Monday holds the month's provisional peak. Watch the replay → · See the full month ladder →

All values from real ERCOT feeds; calls logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".