Peak ledger

Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Our call
1%
CLEAR · window 2:00 PM CT–5:00 PM CT
The day
83.0 GW
max at 3:25 PM CT
Outcome
RANK 4
beaten, the month leader is 83.3 GW
What was behind the 1%
Forecast max
81.9 GW
Month max
83.3 GW
Margin
-1.4 GW
Temp anomaly
-0.3 °F
Est. curtailment
1.5 GW
Est. battery
-0.2 GW
p (raw)
1%
p (final)
1%

model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 11:59 PM CT · stress-test these drivers →

This day ranks #4 of 10 observed days this month. Watch the replay → · See the full month ladder →

All values from real ERCOT feeds; calls logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".