PJMWARNINGPeak probability 100% today · window 4:00 PM ET–6:00 PM ET
NYISOWARNINGPeak probability 95% today · window 4:00 PM ET–6:00 PM ET

Peak ledger

Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Our call
0%
CLEAR · window 3:00 PM CT–5:00 PM CT
The day
56.9 GW
max at 12:00 AM CT
Outcome
RANK 15
beaten, the month leader is 83.3 GW
What was behind the 0%
Forecast max
71.1 GW
Month max
83.3 GW
Margin
-12.2 GW
Temp anomaly
-9.4 °F
Est. curtailment
1.5 GW
Est. battery
-0.2 GW
p (raw)
0%
p (final)
0%

model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 2:25 AM CT · stress-test these drivers →

This day ranks #15 of 15 observed days this month. See the full month ladder →

All values from real ERCOT feeds. Calls are logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".