Peak ledger
Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Our call
▲ 85%
WARNING · window 2:00 PM CT–4:00 PM CT
the chance the day would set July's peak
The day
91.3 GW
max at 4:55 PM CT
Outcome
MONTH LEADER
currently holds this month's provisional peak
What was behind the 85%
- Forecast max
- 90.1 GW
- Month max
- 87.5 GW
- Margin
- 2.6 GW
- Temp anomaly
- +3.8 °F
- Est. curtailment
- 1.5 GW
- Est. battery
- -0.2 GW
- p (raw)
- 91%
- p (final)
- 85%
model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 11:56 PM CT · stress-test these drivers →
As of today, Wednesday holds the month's provisional peak. Watch the replay → · See the full month ladder →
All values from real ERCOT feeds. Calls are logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".