Peak ledger
Thursday, July 30, 2026
Our call
◇ 10%
CLEAR · window 3:00 PM CT–6:00 PM CT
the chance the day would set July's peak
The day
68.4 GW
max at 12:00 AM CT
Outcome
RANK 29
beaten, the month leader is 91.2 GW
What was behind the 10%
- Forecast max
- 91.5 GW
- Month max
- 91.3 GW
- Margin
- 0.2 GW
- Temp anomaly
- +0.3 °F
- Est. curtailment
- 1.5 GW
- Est. battery
- -0.2 GW
- p (raw)
- 75%
- p (final)
- 10%
model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 5:52 AM CT · stress-test these drivers →
This day ranks #29 of 30 observed days this month. See the full month ladder →
All values from real ERCOT feeds. Calls are logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".