Peak ledger
Sunday, August 2, 2026
Our call
◇ 16%
CLEAR · window 4:00 PM CT–5:00 PM CT
the chance the day would set August's peak
The day
64.8 GW
max at 12:00 AM CT
Outcome
RANK 2
beaten, the month leader is 82.8 GW
What was behind the 16%
- Forecast max
- 87.4 GW
- Month max
- 82.9 GW
- Margin
- 4.5 GW
- Temp anomaly
- -1.6 °F
- Est. curtailment
- 1.5 GW
- Est. battery
- -0.2 GW
- p (raw)
- 26%
- p (final)
- 16%
model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 4:02 AM CT · stress-test these drivers →
This day ranks #2 of 2 observed days this month. See the full month ladder →
All values from real ERCOT feeds. Calls are logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".