Peak ledger
Thursday, August 6, 2026
Our call
◇ 1%
CLEAR · window 2:00 PM CT–5:00 PM CT
the chance the day would set August's peak
The day
86.3 GW
max at 4:30 PM CT
Outcome
RANK 11
beaten, the month leader is 87.1 GW
What was behind the 1%
- Forecast max
- 87.5 GW
- Month max
- 87.2 GW
- Margin
- 0.3 GW
- Temp anomaly
- -0.6 °F
- Est. curtailment
- 1.5 GW
- Est. battery
- -0.2 GW
- p (raw)
- 23%
- p (final)
- 1%
model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 11:59 PM CT · stress-test these drivers →
This day ranks #11 of 16 observed days this month. Watch the replay → · See the full month ladder →
All values from real ERCOT feeds. Calls are logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".