Peak ledger

Thursday, August 13, 2026

Our call
3%
CLEAR · window 2:00 PM CT–5:00 PM CT
the chance the day would set August's peak
The day
88.1 GW
max system load
Outcome
RANK 2
beaten, the month leader is 87.1 GW
What was behind the 3%
Forecast max
89.3 GW
Month max
88.1 GW
Margin
1.1 GW
Temp anomaly
-0.1 °F
Est. curtailment
1.5 GW
Est. battery
-0.2 GW
p (raw)
46%
p (final)
3%

model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 11:58 PM CT · stress-test these drivers →

This day ranks #2 of 13 observed days this month. Watch the replay → · See the full month ladder →

All values from real ERCOT feeds. Calls are logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".