Peak ledger
Monday, August 24, 2026
Our call
◇ 11%
CLEAR · window 3:00 PM CT–6:00 PM CT
the chance the day would set August's peak
The day
70.8 GW
max at 12:00 AM CT
Outcome
RANK 24
beaten, the month leader is 90.5 GW
What was behind the 11%
- Forecast max
- 90.9 GW
- Month max
- 90.6 GW
- Margin
- 0.3 GW
- Temp anomaly
- +2.4 °F
- Est. curtailment
- 1.5 GW
- Est. battery
- -0.2 GW
- p (raw)
- 77%
- p (final)
- 11%
model hybrid-1.1.0 · computed 3:16 AM CT · stress-test these drivers →
This day ranks #24 of 24 observed days this month. See the full month ladder →
All values from real ERCOT feeds. Calls are logged to an append-only hash chain before intervals close (methodology). Free to republish with a link: "Peak data by WattMarkets".